Cattle restockers awaken
There has been some sentiment shift in cattle markets, and as usual it’s more to do with the weather than anything else. Restockers are back in the...
The MLA National Heavy Lamb Indicator reached its highest price on record at 1,127¢/kg carcase weight (cwt), lifting 12% in the past month. For two months, lamb prices broke $10/kg, resulting in the highest ever prices for every indicator except the Mutton Indicator.
While the sheepmeat market experiences record prices, the Australian wool market is less robust.
The Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) showed a slight 7% price lift, but it’s nowhere near 2019’s record high of $20/kg. Increased costs from shearing, crutching and labour are likely contributing.
Data analysis indicates a moderate correlation between sheepmeat prices and wool prices.
This means increasing lamb prices (Merino Lamb Indicator) will not necessarily lead to increasing wool prices (Eastern Market Indicator).
READ MORE: Producers plan flock reductions. Why?
When analysts examine the meat and wool price relationship, they assess each variable using a correlation coefficient.
A positive correlation coefficient (r-value) indicates an increase of one variable will see a similar increase in the other variable.
A negative r-value suggests an increase in one variable will see a decrease in the other variable.
Analysis of the EMI and the Merino Lamb Indicator show a moderate positive relationship – likely reflecting that sheepmeat is a by-product of wool production in Merino-based systems.
The Bottom Line
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National Heavy Lamb Indicator reaches record high.
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Wool saw a modest 7% increase in the Eastern Market Indicator amid rising production costs.
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Data suggests increasing lamb prices will not necessarily lead to increasing wool prices.
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