The Snapshot

  • China approved a series of GM corn and soybean varieties in December 2023.

  • It is expected that China will increase GM hectares to 7% of corn area.

  • China last year imported 13mmt, but in recent years has imported more nearly 30mmt in both 2021 and 2023.

  • The US has increased the use of GM corn to over 90%

  • GM corn varieties yield between 5.6% and 24.5% higher than conventional varieties.

  • This analysis looks at the hypothetical scenario of China moving to GM corn more fully.

  • The widespread adoption of GM corn in China could exceed the volume that China needs to import.

  • This would impact the pricing of corn globally, which could flow through to wheat pricing.

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