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The 2023-24 El Nino in the Pacific came to an end this week as the ocean slowly undergoes a big shift, and it will take some time to enter the next phase: La Nina. The Indian Ocean is in a Positive phase, and likely to remain that way for several months.

The 2023-24 El Nino in the Pacific came to an end this week as the ocean slowly undergoes a big shift, and it will take some ti...

To kick off the winter growing season in southern Australia we need rain to come from either a juicy northwest cloud band runni...

Parts of Victoria and Tasmania received 50 to 100 mm this week, and the deluge is spreading to central and eastern NSW and into...

As we head into the autumn break we look at the Pacific and Indian Oceans to see what sources of moisture we’ll have at our dis...

After a very long stretch of wet weather drenching the west, the focus is shifting to Queensland, and potentially NSW. 

Over the next week and a half we’re likely to be stuck in a persistent pattern where the rain falls over the west and far north...

Out of season rain is likely to spread through Western Australia’s wheatbelt beginning this weekend. Storms increase next week ...

An active trough crossed Victoria on Tuesday, the perfect recipe for heat, damaging winds, increased fire danger and thundersto...

There is a fair bit of talk about El Nino not delivering as expected, and the potential for La Niña this year. Here I walk you ...

NEW UPDATE: 24 January, 2024 at 10.45am AEDT

Cyclone Kirrily is likely to form this week off the Queensland coast and i...

Jane's Weather delivers the insights on the upcoming Autumn Break in Australia as one model predicts rain around ANZAC Day. Explore the potential weather patterns and rainfall projections in different regions.
Parts of Victoria and Tasmania received 50 to 100 mm this week, and the deluge is spreading to central and eastern NSW and into southern QLD. Is it the autumn break?
Jane Bunn says the Pacific is looking good, most likely to transition into sending moisture our way. However, the Indian Ocean is a mixed bag, limiting our moisture in autumn and winter, then potentially shifting gears in spring.
Stay ahead of the weather with Jane's Weather insights on potential heavy rain in Queensland with possible spreading to NSW. Get the latest forecasts and updates on rainfall patterns and climate drivers.
According to every one of the different weather models, rain is unlikely in the east next week. But an alternative forecast from the BOM tells a very different story. What gives?
Out of season rain is likely to spread through Western Australia’s wheatbelt beginning this weekend. Storms increase next week over eastern Australia, and may become significant widespread rain for northeast NSW and southeast Queensland.
The trough responsible for damaging storms is now likely to stall over a large part of the east. Expect day after day of thunderstorms brewing around the trough line.
Seasonal forecasts — like suggestions a La Niña is on the way — are not designed for major business decisions. But it is good to be aware of what is driving weather. 
Tropical Cyclone Kirrily is likely to form this week off the Queensland coast and cross the coast on Thursday around the Townsville area.

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