Much of southeastern Australia is taking a break from heavy rain, but that comes with a surge of heat. Gusty winds increase the fire danger early next week - and the week of Christmas may also bring extreme conditions.
To make it rain you need moisture and instability, and we have an impressive moisture source that should continue for the rest of the year. The instability is changing though, moving to a new area, set to give the southeast a break from the rain next week.
Over the course of the next week we have the potential for widespread soaking rain over much of southeastern Australia, fuelled by rain crossing the north and interior.
There is the potential for big rainfalls in both the west and east over the next week, which will be quite a change from what southwest WA has been experiencing lately. In the longer term, it is these areas that are most likely to see above average rain across the summer period too.
‘Surf’s up’ in the Pacific Ocean this week, but if you’re looking for a wave in the west there isn’t much happening. The wave pattern in the Pacific indicates that we are still heading towards a higher rain phase in the months ahead, while the Indian Ocean has failed to deliver. However, in the next week, there is the potential for a bit of rain in the southeast.
The current cold outbreak over the eastern states has one more chance to deliver snow to Queensland on Thursday morning, before the cold pool moves away.
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