Mixed outlook as we head into Christmas
1:17

We have a brief burst of heat in the southeast, followed by showers and storms to the east of the trough which brings a cool change.

This will slowly progress northeastwards across eastern Australia over the weekend.

That means the southeast is at the top of the never-ending temperature roller coaster, and about to head to the bottom - before the next jump up in temperature mid next week.

That timing also means that southeast Queensland doesn't see the storms until early next week, while Sydney has them on Friday, and then again later Saturday into early Sunday, and Melbourne is at risk on Saturday afternoon.

Meanwhile, the heat doesn't abate in the west until later on Monday. That heat will arrive in the southeast mid next week.

satellite-3Satellite and radar on Friday morning.


ml-precipitation_amount-1-1

Potential rain for the next week.

BoM and ECMWF guidance are at odds with each other as to which parts of the country are set for rain later next week. Euro likes it to come down through western NSW and Victoria (one to watch if you are harvesting) and spread across Queensland.

BoM has a very different picture, keeping the rain confined to the western inland.

20251211210554-d1310895dc7bff69d2e66e780e4c9e073b06b5edECMWF potential rain from December 15 to 22.

rain.forecast.median.national.week2.latest.hr

BoM Potential rain for December 16 to 22.

For the week of Christmas, Euro has a very tropical pattern, with rain confined to the northern half of the country. BoM is slightly different, pushing it down into the south of WA and SA.

20251211210554-8c61b2bbe2e33984e76a9aaf6a5a4341d1b312b3ECMWF Potential rain from December 22 to 29.

rain.forecast.median.national.week3.latest.hr

BoM Potential rain for December 23 to 29.

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