Settled conditions this week, drier outlook continues to build
It is a quiet weather week across the country, with a new large high moving into place, this leading to settled conditions this weekend and next...
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Jane Bunn - Jane's Weather
:
Feb 28, 2024
Out of season rain is likely to spread through Western Australia’s wheatbelt beginning this weekend. Storms increase next week over eastern Australia, and may become significant widespread rain for northeast NSW and southeast Queensland.
The next pulse of tropical energy has arrived in northern Australia, increasing the wet weather across the top. This will also feed significant rain through southern parts of Western Australia and western parts of South Australia.
Most of the activity comes into the south from Sunday through to mid next week.
Wheatbelt farms may pick up 15 to 25 mm of rain, with locally heavier falls in thunderstorms.
Potential rain from a blend of weather models, from Wednesday 28th February to Wednesday 6th March.
Southeastern Australia is in a generally dry stretch. Weather systems are losing their moisture as they pass through, delivering little if any rain - but there is heat out ahead of them, increased fire danger, gusty winds and dry thunderstorms that can start fires, then cooler weather behind the wind change.
Northeastern NSW and southeastern QLD are a different story. There is plenty of moisture to feed weather systems in these areas. The standard summer trough becomes active again later this week, with day after day of hit and miss showers and thunderstorms.
A new trough off the coast next week may increase this activity to widespread areas of rain too - and BoM’s model indicates high potential for above average rain on the horizon:
Image: BoM’s rainfall projection from Sunday 3rd March to Saturday 9th March.
See how conditions are most likely to unfold at any property across Australia with the Jane’s Weather Consensus Forecast. We combine all the different weather modelling and update you as soon as the next guidance is issued. See hour by hour when the wind and rain could intensify and moderate again, when heat will build and when the cool change is set to arrive.
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