Long-range modelling first signalled a switch in the Pacific Ocean late in 2022, that after three years of wet conditions with La Niña, indicated the second half of 2023 was likely to turn dry with El Niño.
We are nearing the end of July, firmly half way through the year, and that gives greater insight into whether 2023 will indeed be known as an El Nino year, with effects in Australia over spring and summer.
A big northwest cloudband is delivering widespread out of season rain, and projections show that the rain should spread eastwards over the next week. We’ve seen large falls already, and there’s still significant rain over the NT, QLD and NSW to come.
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